Jacob LatzFITTED MODEL

P · TEX · MLB

4.5

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

13.2

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

5.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	@ CLE	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-29	@ CLE	6.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-26	@ TOR	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-25	@ TOR	1.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-22	@ MIA	5.8	-	-	-	2
2026-06-20	vs SD	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-19	vs SD	2.4	-	-	-	0
2026-06-14	@ BOS	7.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-11	@ KC	10.5	-	-	-	3
2026-06-10	@ KC	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-05	vs CLE	9.3	-	-	-	3
2026-06-01	@ STL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-31	vs KC	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-26	vs HOU	4.4	-	-	-	2
2026-05-20	@ COL	11.9	0	0	0	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts