José UreñaFITTED MODEL

P · LAA · MLB

4.5

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

13.2

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

5.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-27	vs HOU	3.3	-	-	-	1
2025-09-23	vs KC	-4.5	-	-	-	0
2025-09-17	@ MIL	3.1	-	-	-	3
2025-09-14	@ SEA	6.3	-	-	-	1
2025-09-10	vs MIN	7.6	-	-	-	3
2025-09-05	vs ATH	22.1	-	-	-	6
2025-08-21	vs ATH	-1.4	-	-	-	3
2025-08-15	vs DET	16.9	-	-	-	3
2025-08-10	vs KC	2.5	-	-	-	1
2025-08-03	@ CLE	7.4	-	-	-	3
2025-06-05	vs NYM	4.8	-	-	-	2
2025-06-03	vs NYM	0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-05-29	vs ATH	7.9	-	-	-	2
2025-05-23	@ TB	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-05-21	vs SD	5.3	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts