Matt SauerFITTED MODEL

P · LAD · MLB

4.6

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

13.2

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

2.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-08-21	@ COL	2.7	-	-	-	2
2025-06-17	vs SD	1.6	-	-	-	3
2025-06-10	@ SD	-5.7	-	-	-	6
2025-05-23	@ NYM	7.0	-	-	-	2
2025-05-19	vs AZ	1.3	-	-	-	1
2025-05-15	vs ATH	6.6	-	-	-	2
2025-05-11	@ AZ	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-05-07	@ MIA	15.8	-	-	-	4
2025-04-29	vs MIA	14.2	-	-	-	4
2025-04-07	@ WSH	-0.1	-	-	-	0
2024-05-19	vs OAK	-4.2	-	-	-	1
2024-05-17	vs OAK	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2024-05-11	@ LAA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-05-09	@ LAA	0.5	-	-	-	1
2024-05-04	vs TEX	-11.3	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts