Tylor MegillFITTED MODEL

P · NYM · MLB

15.1

Projection

2.3

Floor (p10)

27.1

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

26%

Bust (0.6x)

15.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-06-14	vs TB	5.7	-	-	-	5
2025-06-08	@ COL	13.1	-	-	-	5
2025-06-03	@ LAD	16.5	-	-	-	7
2025-05-27	vs CWS	15.9	-	-	-	6
2025-05-21	@ BOS	24.9	-	-	-	10
2025-05-16	@ NYY	0.6	-	-	-	4
2025-05-10	vs CHC	11.1	-	-	-	7
2025-05-04	@ STL	10.4	-	-	-	6
2025-04-27	@ WSH	23.9	-	-	-	9
2025-04-21	vs PHI	28.4	-	-	-	10
2025-04-15	@ MIN	7.8	-	-	-	3
2025-04-09	vs MIA	17.6	-	-	-	7
2025-04-04	vs TOR	17.0	-	-	-	4
2025-03-28	@ HOU	18.9	-	-	-	6
2024-09-30	@ ATL	16.8	-	-	-	8

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts