Bryce JarvisFITTED MODEL

P · AZ · MLB

3.6

Projection

-0.9

Floor (p10)

7.8

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

3.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-28	@ SD	3.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-05	vs BOS	-10.4	-	-	-	0
2025-08-30	@ LAD	0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-25	@ MIL	17.8	-	-	-	6
2025-07-06	vs KC	10.0	-	-	-	2
2025-06-10	vs SEA	5.8	-	-	-	2
2025-04-18	@ CHC	-2.3	-	-	-	2
2025-04-15	@ MIA	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-04-09	vs BAL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-04-05	@ WSH	7.9	-	-	-	2
2025-03-29	vs CHC	7.7	-	-	-	3
2025-03-27	vs CHC	1.4	-	-	-	2
2024-07-30	vs WSH	5.0	-	-	-	2
2024-07-28	vs PIT	0.3	-	-	-	0
2024-07-27	vs PIT	1.6	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts