Ben BrownFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

10.8

Projection

-2.0

Floor (p10)

22.7

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

11.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-19	vs TOR	15.1	-	-	-	4
2026-06-13	@ SF	9.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-06	vs SF	20.2	-	-	-	5
2026-05-30	@ STL	23.4	-	-	-	6
2026-05-25	@ PIT	21.9	-	-	-	7
2026-05-19	vs MIL	11.8	-	-	-	6
2026-05-14	@ ATL	21.2	-	-	-	7
2026-05-08	@ TEX	14.4	-	-	-	3
2026-05-04	vs CIN	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-05-02	vs AZ	6.5	-	-	-	1
2026-04-29	@ SD	5.8	-	-	-	1
2026-04-27	@ SD	4.7	-	-	-	1
2026-04-22	vs PHI	13.4	-	-	-	5
2026-04-18	vs NYM	4.7	-	-	-	1
2026-04-15	@ PHI	4.5	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts