Max FriedFITTED MODEL

P · NYY · MLB

15.6

Projection

2.9

Floor (p10)

27.6

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

25%

Bust (0.6x)

17.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-13	@ BAL	1.1	-	-	-	2
2026-05-08	@ MIL	8.1	-	-	-	5
2026-05-03	vs BAL	12.6	-	-	-	6
2026-04-27	@ TEX	19.9	-	-	-	5
2026-04-22	@ BOS	33.0	-	-	-	9
2026-04-16	vs LAA	4.4	-	-	-	3
2026-04-11	@ TB	20.4	-	-	-	6
2026-04-05	vs MIA	12.2	-	-	-	4
2026-03-31	@ SEA	24.8	-	-	-	6
2026-03-25	@ SF	19.9	-	-	-	4
2025-09-24	vs CWS	24.1	-	-	-	7
2025-09-18	@ BAL	39.4	-	-	-	13
2025-09-13	@ BOS	13.4	-	-	-	6
2025-09-07	vs TOR	13.6	-	-	-	4
2025-09-02	@ HOU	18.9	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts