Aaron NolaFITTED MODEL

P · PHI · MLB

10.3

Projection

-2.5

Floor (p10)

22.2

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

8.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-29	vs PIT	-0.2	-	-	-	5
2026-06-24	@ WSH	13.7	-	-	-	5
2026-06-18	vs NYM	14.4	-	-	-	6
2026-06-13	@ MIL	5.7	-	-	-	3
2026-06-07	vs CWS	1.8	-	-	-	4
2026-06-02	vs SD	20.9	-	-	-	8
2026-05-26	@ SD	17.7	-	-	-	5
2026-05-20	vs CIN	8.4	-	-	-	5
2026-05-15	@ PIT	-5.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-09	vs COL	7.7	-	-	-	4
2026-05-04	@ MIA	20.5	-	-	-	5
2026-04-26	@ ATL	4.5	-	-	-	6
2026-04-20	@ CHC	3.8	-	-	-	5
2026-04-14	vs CHC	9.2	-	-	-	5
2026-04-08	@ SF	9.9	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts