Nick PivettaFITTED MODEL

P · SD · MLB

15.1

Projection

2.3

Floor (p10)

27.0

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

26%

Bust (0.6x)

16.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-12	vs COL	14.8	-	-	-	4
2026-04-07	@ PIT	20.2	-	-	-	8
2026-04-01	vs SF	25.4	-	-	-	8
2026-03-26	vs DET	-3.2	-	-	-	4
2025-09-22	vs MIL	11.3	-	-	-	5
2025-09-17	@ NYM	10.3	-	-	-	5
2025-09-10	vs CIN	28.8	-	-	-	8
2025-09-05	@ COL	14.1	-	-	-	5
2025-08-30	@ MIN	16.2	-	-	-	6
2025-08-24	vs LAD	20.5	-	-	-	7
2025-08-19	vs SF	27.9	-	-	-	10
2025-08-13	@ SF	20.0	-	-	-	5
2025-08-08	vs BOS	4.7	-	-	-	3
2025-08-01	vs STL	23.1	-	-	-	5
2025-07-25	@ STL	14.7	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts