Josh WinckowskiFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

4.0

Projection

-0.5

Floor (p10)

8.2

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

28%

Bust (0.6x)

3.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-04-23	vs SEA	7.2	-	-	-	4
2025-04-18	vs CWS	0.1	-	-	-	0
2025-04-14	@ TB	8.2	-	-	-	3
2025-04-11	@ CWS	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-04-09	vs TOR	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-04-08	vs TOR	5.2	-	-	-	1
2024-09-29	vs TB	5.0	-	-	-	2
2024-09-25	@ TOR	3.4	-	-	-	3
2024-09-22	vs MIN	4.4	-	-	-	1
2024-09-20	vs MIN	1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-09-17	@ TB	5.9	-	-	-	4
2024-09-14	@ NYY	3.0	-	-	-	1
2024-09-12	@ NYY	-0.6	-	-	-	0
2024-09-09	vs BAL	8.9	-	-	-	3
2024-09-06	vs CWS	2.2	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts