Aaron CivaleFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

7.6

Projection

0.1

Floor (p10)

16.3

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

29%

Bust (0.6x)

7.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	@ LAA	2.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-23	@ SF	10.8	-	-	-	5
2026-06-17	vs PIT	-7.8	-	-	-	2
2026-05-25	vs SEA	-7.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-20	@ LAA	1.1	-	-	-	2
2026-05-15	vs SF	7.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-09	@ BAL	17.9	-	-	-	6
2026-05-03	vs CLE	12.1	-	-	-	3
2026-04-28	vs KC	13.7	-	-	-	3
2026-04-22	@ SEA	11.8	-	-	-	5
2026-04-17	vs CWS	0.7	-	-	-	4
2026-04-12	@ NYM	16.4	-	-	-	3
2026-04-07	@ NYY	17.6	-	-	-	6
2026-03-31	@ ATL	10.2	-	-	-	3
2025-09-24	vs NYM	9.6	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts