Nick CastellanosFITTED MODEL

OF · SD · MLB

4.7

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

14.5

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

52%

Bust (0.6x)

5.7

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-31	@ WSH	10.0	1	1	1	-
2026-05-27	vs PHI	3.0	1	1	0	-
2026-05-26	vs PHI	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-05-25	vs PHI	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-05-24	vs ATH	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-05-23	vs ATH	4.0	0	0	0	-
2026-05-22	vs ATH	14.0	1	4	1	-
2026-05-20	vs LAD	3.0	1	1	0	-
2026-05-19	vs LAD	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-05-18	vs LAD	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-05-16	@ SEA	18.0	1	4	3	-
2026-05-14	@ MIL	10.0	2	3	0	-
2026-05-13	@ MIL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-05-12	@ MIL	7.0	1	1	2	-
2026-05-10	vs STL	16.0	1	4	2	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts