Nathan EovaldiFITTED MODEL

P · TEX · MLB

16.8

Projection

4.0

Floor (p10)

28.7

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

24%

Bust (0.6x)

18.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs DET	19.1	-	-	-	9
2026-06-26	@ TOR	30.1	-	-	-	9
2026-06-21	vs SD	20.7	-	-	-	9
2026-06-14	@ BOS	17.6	-	-	-	6
2026-06-09	@ KC	6.5	-	-	-	3
2026-06-02	@ STL	11.7	-	-	-	7
2026-05-28	vs HOU	14.2	-	-	-	6
2026-05-23	@ LAA	16.9	-	-	-	6
2026-05-17	@ HOU	26.9	-	-	-	8
2026-05-06	@ NYY	29.6	-	-	-	8
2026-04-29	vs NYY	26.1	-	-	-	7
2026-04-24	vs ATH	3.3	-	-	-	3
2026-04-18	@ SEA	7.8	-	-	-	3
2026-04-13	@ ATH	26.1	-	-	-	7
2026-04-07	vs SEA	18.7	-	-	-	7

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts