Aroldis ChapmanFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

3.4

Projection

-1.1

Floor (p10)

7.6

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

3.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	vs NYY	3.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-27	vs NYY	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-25	vs NYY	0.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-22	@ COL	-8.4	-	-	-	0
2026-06-18	vs TOR	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-13	vs TEX	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-05	@ NYY	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-31	@ CLE	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-20	@ KC	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-18	@ KC	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-16	@ ATL	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-15	@ ATL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-13	vs PHI	7.0	-	-	-	3
2026-05-08	vs TB	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-04	@ DET	4.2	0	0	0	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts