Mitch KellerFITTED MODEL

P · PIT · MLB

10.5

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

22.4

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

9.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	vs CIN	11.3	-	-	-	4
2026-06-23	vs SEA	10.7	-	-	-	4
2026-06-16	@ ATH	19.2	-	-	-	7
2026-06-11	vs LAD	-2.8	-	-	-	3
2026-06-05	@ ATL	-0.1	-	-	-	4
2026-05-30	vs MIN	-1.6	-	-	-	5
2026-05-24	@ TOR	16.7	-	-	-	5
2026-05-19	@ STL	7.2	-	-	-	3
2026-05-13	vs COL	1.9	-	-	-	3
2026-05-07	@ AZ	13.9	-	-	-	4
2026-05-01	vs CIN	23.4	-	-	-	6
2026-04-25	@ MIL	13.1	-	-	-	6
2026-04-19	vs TB	18.8	-	-	-	5
2026-04-14	vs WSH	-1.6	-	-	-	3
2026-04-08	vs SD	19.1	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts