Jesús LuzardoFITTED MODEL

P · PHI · MLB

16.9

Projection

4.2

Floor (p10)

28.9

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

24%

Bust (0.6x)

16.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	@ NYM	17.1	-	-	-	6
2026-06-23	@ WSH	34.2	-	-	-	13
2026-06-16	vs MIA	25.6	-	-	-	9
2026-06-10	@ TOR	21.9	-	-	-	8
2026-06-05	vs CWS	1.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-30	@ LAD	14.6	-	-	-	6
2026-05-25	@ SD	21.3	-	-	-	6
2026-05-19	vs CIN	15.3	-	-	-	5
2026-05-14	@ BOS	17.9	-	-	-	4
2026-05-08	vs COL	3.4	-	-	-	6
2026-05-03	@ MIA	24.9	-	-	-	10
2026-04-28	vs SF	30.6	-	-	-	8
2026-04-21	@ CHC	8.5	-	-	-	3
2026-04-15	vs CHC	-3.8	-	-	-	4
2026-04-10	vs AZ	11.7	-	-	-	8

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts