Josh HaderFITTED MODEL

P · HOU · MLB

5.0

Projection

-2.6

Floor (p10)

13.6

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

4.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	vs MIN	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-28	@ DET	4.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-27	@ DET	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	@ TOR	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-23	@ TOR	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs CLE	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-17	vs DET	5.7	-	-	-	3
2026-06-16	vs DET	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-12	@ KC	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-10	@ LAA	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-08	@ LAA	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-05	vs ATH	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-03	vs PIT	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-08-08	@ NYY	3.3	-	-	-	0
2025-08-05	@ MIA	5.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts