Pablo LópezFITTED MODEL

P · MIN · MLB

15.5

Projection

2.8

Floor (p10)

27.5

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

25%

Bust (0.6x)

15.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-19	vs CLE	6.0	-	-	-	2
2025-09-12	vs AZ	18.4	-	-	-	6
2025-09-05	@ KC	13.3	-	-	-	4
2025-06-03	@ ATH	11.1	-	-	-	4
2025-05-28	@ TB	3.9	-	-	-	3
2025-05-23	vs KC	15.3	-	-	-	5
2025-05-17	@ MIL	23.1	-	-	-	6
2025-05-11	vs SF	12.7	-	-	-	6
2025-05-06	vs BAL	29.4	-	-	-	11
2025-04-30	@ CLE	19.9	-	-	-	6
2025-04-25	vs LAA	15.1	-	-	-	6
2025-04-08	@ KC	20.1	-	-	-	6
2025-04-02	@ CWS	20.8	-	-	-	5
2025-03-27	@ STL	8.4	-	-	-	3
2024-09-27	vs BAL	19.4	-	-	-	8

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts