Nelson VelázquezFITTED MODEL

PH · STL · MLB

5.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

Boom (1.5x)

Bust (0.6x)

4.7

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	@ ATL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-30	@ ATL	19.0	2	5	1	-
2026-06-24	vs AZ	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-23	vs AZ	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-19	@ KC	4.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-18	@ KC	7.0	1	2	0	-
2026-06-17	vs SD	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-13	@ MIN	3.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-12	@ MIN	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-10	@ NYM	16.0	1	4	2	-
2026-06-07	vs CIN	5.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-06	vs CIN	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-03	vs TEX	14.0	2	3	1	-
2026-06-02	vs TEX	3.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-01	vs TEX	0.0	0	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts