Stephen KolekFITTED MODEL

P · KC · MLB

9.9

Projection

-2.9

Floor (p10)

21.9

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

12.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs TB	-4.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-21	vs STL	-20.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-14	vs HOU	20.9	-	-	-	4
2026-06-09	vs TEX	9.8	-	-	-	3
2026-06-03	@ CIN	22.9	-	-	-	8
2026-05-29	@ TEX	9.1	-	-	-	5
2026-05-23	vs SEA	26.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-17	@ STL	16.6	-	-	-	3
2026-05-12	@ CWS	7.7	-	-	-	6
2026-05-05	vs CLE	11.1	-	-	-	3
2025-09-24	@ LAA	9.3	-	-	-	2
2025-09-18	vs SEA	28.7	-	-	-	8
2025-09-11	@ CLE	18.6	-	-	-	4
2025-09-06	vs MIN	15.6	-	-	-	4
2025-08-30	vs DET	15.1	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts