Zach EflinFITTED MODEL

P · BAL · MLB

9.3

Projection

1.8

Floor (p10)

17.9

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

25%

Bust (0.6x)

8.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-03-31	vs TEX	16.6	-	-	-	7
2025-07-28	vs TOR	2.4	-	-	-	3
2025-07-23	@ CLE	15.4	-	-	-	5
2025-06-28	vs TB	-8.8	-	-	-	0
2025-06-21	@ NYY	-4.5	-	-	-	4
2025-06-16	@ TB	-7.2	-	-	-	2
2025-06-11	vs DET	19.4	-	-	-	5
2025-06-05	@ SEA	16.7	-	-	-	7
2025-05-30	vs CWS	24.8	-	-	-	6
2025-05-24	@ BOS	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-05-18	vs WSH	-2.6	-	-	-	4
2025-05-11	@ LAA	13.1	-	-	-	5
2025-04-07	@ AZ	10.5	-	-	-	1
2025-04-02	vs BOS	12.7	-	-	-	5
2025-03-27	@ TOR	11.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts