Matthew LiberatoreFITTED MODEL

P · STL · MLB

9.9

Projection

-2.9

Floor (p10)

21.9

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

9.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	@ ATL	23.6	-	-	-	9
2026-06-24	vs AZ	0.0	-	-	-	3
2026-06-18	@ KC	-6.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-13	@ MIN	6.2	-	-	-	4
2026-06-06	vs CIN	7.5	-	-	-	4
2026-05-31	vs CHC	17.6	-	-	-	4
2026-05-25	@ MIL	19.9	-	-	-	10
2026-05-19	vs PIT	15.1	-	-	-	9
2026-05-13	@ ATH	6.7	-	-	-	5
2026-05-07	@ SD	19.9	-	-	-	6
2026-05-01	vs LAD	12.6	-	-	-	4
2026-04-25	vs SEA	-1.9	-	-	-	3
2026-04-19	@ HOU	16.5	-	-	-	4
2026-04-13	vs CLE	1.9	-	-	-	2
2026-04-07	@ WSH	8.7	-	-	-	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts