Ryan YarbroughFITTED MODEL

P · NYY · MLB

3.3

Projection

-1.2

Floor (p10)

7.5

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

3.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	vs DET	-0.7	-	-	-	0
2026-06-29	vs DET	2.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-26	@ BOS	1.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-25	@ BOS	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-22	@ DET	3.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-20	vs CIN	-4.8	-	-	-	2
2026-06-16	vs CWS	12.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-10	@ CLE	5.3	-	-	-	2
2026-06-08	@ CLE	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-02	vs CLE	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-26	@ KC	5.0	-	-	-	0
2026-05-17	@ NYM	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-13	@ BAL	10.9	-	-	-	4
2026-05-06	vs TEX	7.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-26	@ HOU	6.2	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts