Tom CosgroveFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

5.3

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

13.9

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

1.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-05-09	@ NYM	3.3	-	-	-	1
2025-04-29	@ PIT	7.3	-	-	-	2
2024-06-26	vs WSH	-9.7	-	-	-	0
2024-06-23	vs MIL	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-06-21	vs MIL	6.4	-	-	-	2
2024-04-29	vs CIN	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2024-04-28	vs PHI	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2024-04-26	vs PHI	-0.1	-	-	-	2
2024-04-23	@ COL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-04-19	vs TOR	5.8	-	-	-	1
2024-04-13	@ LAD	-7.7	-	-	-	0
2024-04-12	@ LAD	3.5	-	-	-	1
2024-04-09	vs CHC	6.2	-	-	-	2
2024-04-06	@ SF	0.9	-	-	-	0
2024-04-03	vs STL	5.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts