dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Flau'jae Johnson rebounds

Flau'jae Johnson: reboundsFITTED MODEL

G · SEA · WNBA · baseline 5.3/game (2026, 21 games)
5.1
Median
2.3-8.6
80% range
3.6-6.6
50% range
9.9
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

2.35.18.6
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
3.0+83%
4.0+70%
5.0+53%
6.0+34%
7.0+21%
8.0+13%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 499 G rebounds games, our 80% range covered 77.8% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Flau'jae Johnson player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts