dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Angela Dugalic rebounds

Angela Dugalic: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · WSH · WNBA · baseline 3.5/game (2026, 20 games)
3.2
Median
0.8-6.8
80% range
1.7-5.0
50% range
7.9
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.83.26.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
1.0+87%
2.0+71%
3.0+54%
4.0+38%
5.0+25%
6.0+15%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 658 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Angela Dugalic player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts