dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Leila Lacan assists

Leila Lacan: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · CON · WNBA · baseline 4.5/game (2026, 11 games)
4.3
Median
1.6-7.8
80% range
2.8-5.9
50% range
9.1
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.64.37.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
2.0+86%
3.0+72%
4.0+55%
5.0+37%
6.0+24%
7.0+15%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 731 G assists games, our 80% range covered 77.1% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Leila Lacan player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts