dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Dominique Malonga points

Dominique Malonga: pointsFITTED MODEL

C · SEA · WNBA · baseline 16/game (2026, 13 games)
16
Median
8-25
80% range
12-21
50% range
27
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

81625
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
5+98%
10+82%
15+55%
20+30%
25+10%
30+1%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 152 C points games, our 80% range covered 81.6% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Dominique Malonga player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts