dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Angel Reese assists

Angel Reese: assistsFITTED MODEL

F · ATL · WNBA · baseline 2.4/game (2026, 21 games)
2.0
Median
0.0-4.8
80% range
1.0-3.4
50% range
5.0
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.02.04.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+73%
2.0+50%
3.0+30%
4.0+18%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 219 F assists games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Angel Reese player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts