dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Azura Stevens assists

Azura Stevens: assistsFITTED MODEL

Name: Azura Stevens assists outcome distribution
Creator: dfsforge

F · CHI · WNBA · baseline 2.5/game (2026, 14 games)

2.1

Median

0.1-4.9

80% range

1.1-3.5

50% range

5.1

Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assists	Probability
1.0+	81%
2.0+	59%
3.0+	37%
4.0+	20%
5.0+	8%

Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 219 F assists games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).

Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.

More: Azura Stevens player page · all WNBA forecasts

Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts