dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Jade Melbourne points

Jade Melbourne: pointsFITTED MODEL

G · SEA · WNBA · baseline 9.1/game (2026, 20 games)
8.0
Median
2.4-16.8
80% range
4.8-12.6
50% range
19.6
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

2.48.016.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
5.0+74%
10.0+39%
15.0+15%
20.0+4%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 709 G points games, our 80% range covered 77.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Jade Melbourne player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts