dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Ezi Magbegor rebounds

Ezi Magbegor: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · SEA · WNBA · baseline 6.1/game (2025, 47 games)
5.9
Median
2.2-10.0
80% range
3.8-8.1
50% range
11.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

2.25.910.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+92%
4.0+73%
6.0+49%
8.0+26%
10.0+10%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 658 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Ezi Magbegor player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts