dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / A'ja Wilson rebounds

A'ja Wilson: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · LV · WNBA · baseline 9.2/game (2026, 20 games)
8.6
Median
4.4-14.5
80% range
6.2-11.8
50% range
15.7
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

4.48.614.5
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
4.0+92%
6.0+76%
8.0+57%
10.0+40%
12.0+24%
14.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 279 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 83.2% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: A'ja Wilson player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts