dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / A'ja Wilson assists

A'ja Wilson: assistsFITTED MODEL

C · LV · WNBA · baseline 2.8/game (2026, 20 games)
2.4
Median
1.0-5.2
80% range
1.3-3.7
50% range
6.3
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.02.45.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+88%
2.0+61%
3.0+42%
4.0+21%
5.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 94 C assists games, our 80% range covered 79.8% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: A'ja Wilson player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts