dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Breanna Stewart rebounds

Breanna Stewart: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · NY · WNBA · baseline 8.5/game (2026, 21 games)
8.2
Median
4.2-13.0
80% range
6.1-10.7
50% range
14.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

4.28.213.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
4.0+91%
6.0+76%
8.0+53%
10.0+32%
12.0+16%
14.0+6%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 658 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Breanna Stewart player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts