dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Jordin Canada points

Jordin Canada: pointsFITTED MODEL

G · ATL · WNBA · baseline 11.0/game (2026, 21 games)
10.6
Median
3.3-18.8
80% range
6.5-14.9
50% range
21.6
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.310.618.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
5.0+83%
10.0+54%
15.0+25%
20.0+8%
25.0+2%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 709 G points games, our 80% range covered 77.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Jordin Canada player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts