dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Nneka Ogwumike rebounds

Nneka Ogwumike: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · LA · WNBA · baseline 8.3/game (2026, 18 games)
8.0
Median
3.9-12.8
80% range
5.9-10.5
50% range
14.3
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.98.012.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+97%
4.0+89%
6.0+74%
8.0+50%
10.0+29%
12.0+14%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 658 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Nneka Ogwumike player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts