dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / DiJonai Carrington rebounds

DiJonai Carrington: reboundsFITTED MODEL

G · MIN · WNBA · baseline 3.9/game (2025, 35 games)
3.2
Median
1.0-7.0
80% range
2.1-5.4
50% range
8.2
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.03.27.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
1.0+91%
2.0+79%
3.0+60%
4.0+41%
5.0+30%
6.0+19%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 499 G rebounds games, our 80% range covered 77.8% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: DiJonai Carrington player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts