dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Natasha Howard rebounds

Natasha Howard: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · MIN · WNBA · baseline 7.8/game (2026, 20 games)
7.6
Median
3.7-12.2
80% range
5.7-9.8
50% range
13.8
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.77.612.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+98%
4.0+88%
6.0+71%
8.0+44%
10.0+23%
12.0+11%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 658 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Natasha Howard player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts