dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Andersson Garcia rebounds

Andersson Garcia: reboundsFITTED MODEL

G · UTAH · NBA · baseline 8.4/game (2026, 5 games)
8.3
Median
4.8-12.0
80% range
6.4-10.2
50% range
13.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

4.88.312.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
4.0+96%
6.0+80%
8.0+54%
10.0+27%
12.0+10%
14.0+4%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7053 G rebounds games, our 80% range covered 79.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Andersson Garcia player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts