dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Cooper Flagg rebounds

Cooper Flagg: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · DAL · NBA · baseline 6.5/game (2026, 73 games)
6.2
Median
2.9-10.6
80% range
4.5-8.5
50% range
12.1
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

2.96.210.6
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+96%
4.0+80%
6.0+53%
8.0+30%
10.0+13%
12.0+5%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7752 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 80.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Cooper Flagg player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts