dfsforge / NBA forecasts / VJ Edgecombe rebounds

VJ Edgecombe: reboundsFITTED MODEL

G · PHI · NBA · baseline 5.7/game (2026, 89 games)
5.6
Median
2.1-9.4
80% range
3.7-7.5
50% range
10.8
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

2.15.69.4
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+91%
4.0+72%
6.0+43%
8.0+20%
10.0+7%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7053 G rebounds games, our 80% range covered 79.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: VJ Edgecombe player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts