dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Tristan da Silva rebounds

Tristan da Silva: reboundsFITTED MODEL

Name: Tristan da Silva rebounds outcome distribution
Creator: dfsforge

F · ORL · NBA · baseline 3.6/game (2026, 90 games)

3.3

Median

1.0-6.9

80% range

1.8-4.9

50% range

8.1

Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

rebounds	Probability
1.0+	89%
2.0+	72%
3.0+	53%
4.0+	39%
5.0+	24%
6.0+	15%

Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7752 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 80.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).

Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.

More: Tristan da Silva player page · all NBA forecasts

Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts