dfsforge / NBA forecasts / N'Faly Dante rebounds

N'Faly Dante: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · ATL · NBA · baseline 4.2/game (2026, 8 games)
3.6
Median
0.9-8.5
80% range
2.0-6.0
50% range
10.1
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.93.68.5
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+74%
4.0+45%
6.0+25%
8.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: N'Faly Dante player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts