dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Isaiah Collier assists

Isaiah Collier: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · UTAH · NBA · baseline 7.2/game (2026, 59 games)
7.0
Median
3.4-11.2
80% range
5.0-9.1
50% range
12.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.47.011.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
2.0+97%
4.0+85%
6.0+64%
8.0+37%
10.0+17%
12.0+7%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 9094 G assists games, our 80% range covered 80.4% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Isaiah Collier player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts