dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Brandon Clarke points

Brandon Clarke: pointsFITTED MODEL

F · MEM · NBA · baseline 8.3/game (2025, 68 games)
7.7
Median
1.1-15.8
80% range
3.9-11.9
50% range
18.4
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.17.715.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
5.0+68%
10.0+36%
15.0+12%
20.0+3%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 6380 F points games, our 80% range covered 80.3% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Brandon Clarke player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts