dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Precious Achiuwa rebounds

Precious Achiuwa: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · SAC · NBA · baseline 6.7/game (2026, 77 games)
6.3
Median
3.1-10.7
80% range
4.6-8.6
50% range
12.2
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.16.310.7
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+96%
4.0+82%
6.0+54%
8.0+31%
10.0+14%
12.0+5%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7752 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 80.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Precious Achiuwa player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts