dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Cason Wallace assists

Cason Wallace: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · OKC · NBA · baseline 2.7/game (2026, 97 games)
2.3
Median
0.5-5.3
80% range
1.2-3.8
50% range
6.3
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.52.35.3
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+81%
2.0+58%
3.0+35%
4.0+22%
5.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 9094 G assists games, our 80% range covered 80.4% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Cason Wallace player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts