dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Victor Wembanyama assists

Victor Wembanyama: assistsFITTED MODEL

F · SA · NBA · baseline 3.0/game (2026, 93 games)
2.7
Median
0.6-5.7
80% range
1.5-4.2
50% range
6.7
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.62.75.7
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+84%
2.0+65%
3.0+44%
4.0+28%
5.0+16%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4060 F assists games, our 80% range covered 79.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Victor Wembanyama player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts