dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Jock Landale points

Jock Landale: pointsFITTED MODEL

C · ATL · NBA · baseline 10.6/game (2026, 72 games)
10.0
Median
4.0-17.8
80% range
6.6-14.0
50% range
19.7
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

4.010.017.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
4.0+90%
6.0+79%
8.0+65%
10.0+50%
12.0+37%
14.0+25%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 2610 C points games, our 80% range covered 75.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Jock Landale player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts